Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 15.622723 17.679479 19.977567 22.749122 26.018919 29.775691 34.450117
2025-09-28 12.493323 15.029759 18.093355 22.111667 27.311365 33.908185 43.067240
2025-10-05 12.074500 15.224172 19.266460 24.938228 32.862085 43.808707 60.573564
2025-10-12 11.134061 14.536870 19.107914 25.863273 35.890018 50.735241 75.430098
2025-10-19 9.894678 13.256687 17.929482 25.113234 36.288614 53.770121 84.883852
2025-10-26 9.341368 12.843253 17.880765 25.945003 39.120382 60.975052 102.861384
2025-11-02 8.579557 12.036987 17.147201 25.596746 39.962653 64.978992 116.043379
2025-11-09 7.906603 11.291061 16.414234 25.132884 40.499594 68.481517 129.088808
2025-11-16 7.362341 10.687578 15.834135 24.833264 41.247791 72.459693 144.152742
2025-11-23 6.806053 10.016793 15.080014 24.140041 41.160977 74.773556 156.136966
2025-11-30 6.418297 9.580690 14.665093 23.984642 42.047221 79.190346 174.401367
2025-12-07 5.912205 8.915957 13.813600 22.950320 41.071020 79.480278 182.336978
2025-12-14 5.407659 8.236279 12.911769 21.785689 39.789710 79.123499 189.234078
2025-12-21 5.044017 7.767982 12.339969 21.188050 39.610679 81.287856 204.198963
2025-12-28 5.220034 8.219322 13.411079 23.865021 46.827942 102.740179 287.411600
2026-01-04 5.109736 8.165856 13.566933 24.740342 50.211165 115.549532 350.114368
2026-01-11 4.796512 7.732681 12.985988 24.030674 49.778621 117.974686 375.982491
2026-01-18 4.698885 7.677623 13.108952 24.817654 53.089483 131.880684 456.629414
2026-01-25 4.473835 7.376020 12.735685 24.488192 53.558432 137.502324 505.393169
2026-02-01 4.253719 7.070202 12.331858 24.049270 53.680411 142.109553 552.901763
2026-02-08 4.067098 6.815783 12.011259 23.765700 54.175507 148.102542 612.417978
2026-02-15 3.854269 6.500418 11.547845 23.109430 53.562082 150.233413 652.904293
2026-02-22 3.708249 6.303981 11.311859 22.962280 54.353379 157.556099 730.848726